Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 3.347921 3.610469 3.895186 4.228963 4.612250 5.041981 5.565065
2026-01-25 3.273660 3.694511 4.187751 4.819289 5.623186 6.637536 8.059330
2026-02-01 2.889128 3.330580 3.867571 4.586334 5.552879 6.857389 8.852940
2026-02-08 2.592286 3.030850 3.577848 4.332835 5.388736 6.887213 9.343143
2026-02-15 2.429840 2.879924 3.455179 4.273893 5.466028 7.250773 10.411214
2026-02-22 2.276600 2.726219 3.311685 4.165031 5.448185 7.455832 11.258011
2026-03-01 2.126468 2.565294 3.144438 4.003442 5.326497 7.467873 11.747473
2026-03-08 1.981693 2.402743 2.963588 3.805610 5.124656 7.312187 11.862429
2026-03-15 1.914704 2.340774 2.917000 3.799770 5.222799 7.684342 13.186380
2026-03-22 1.849232 2.276803 2.862699 3.776286 5.287055 8.003262 14.509761
2026-03-29 1.786374 2.212965 2.804247 3.740725 5.325217 8.277061 15.836576
2026-04-05 1.777702 2.223915 2.853867 3.877282 5.676134 9.238655 19.553167
2026-04-12 1.747759 2.209376 2.874059 3.984341 6.021329 10.356444 25.073052
2026-04-19 1.818023 2.344836 3.133180 4.525752 7.321767 14.332826 51.505883
2026-04-26 1.714517 2.216718 2.971776 4.314900 7.043280 14.041264 53.993291
2026-05-03 1.614894 2.090295 2.806642 4.085107 6.696551 13.467678 53.576676
2026-05-10 1.559736 2.028516 2.741445 4.031558 6.729462 14.061403 65.628196
2026-05-17 1.499497 1.956369 2.655502 3.932540 6.646417 14.269700 75.601068
2026-05-24 1.433618 1.873169 2.547732 3.785282 6.435217 13.997520 79.187954
2026-05-31 1.364782 1.783335 2.425749 3.604530 6.129411 13.339559 75.676846
2026-06-07 1.334487 1.751655 2.397651 3.599185 6.234701 14.153117 101.896744
2026-06-14 1.302975 1.716850 2.362593 3.577693 6.298628 14.855742 138.687745
2026-06-21 1.271255 1.680567 2.323349 3.545133 6.331227 15.463436 192.765358